HN51, the scientific name for bird flu, kills millions upon millions of birds every year throughout the world. The Spanish flu of 1918 killed 50-100 million humans in just two years. What is the difference between these two strains of flu? Not much, just a couple of strands of RNA. What separates HN51 from causing a pandemic medicinal holocaust is just a few strands of RNA. In just the 20th century, three deadly pandemics have occurred due to the mutation of originally animal-spread viral diseases.
Doctors urge citizens to take flu shots on a yearly basis because of the frightening speed with which the human flu mutates. Flu strains take anywhere from a few minutes to a year to mutate and cause new problems for flu shot companies. HN51 is no exception. First discovered in late 1950s, the originally non-contagious flu is now known for its extreme contagiousness between birds.
However, humans seem to be getting it, too. Over 90 people in Indonesia have died in the past few years due to this flu. Most of these cases of flu are because of direct exposure to birds with the flu, or direct exposure to humans with the flu. In a period of 3 years, 2004 to 2007, the transmission between humans has increased 12 times. This shows that bird flu is rapidly mutating to increase its efficiency of mutation between humans. After all, it has perfected its transmission rate between birds and has even spun off a new type of flu called “swine flu,” which moves between pigs quickly.
Once this inevitable mutation occurs that helps HN51 infect humans easily as well, it’s only a matter of time before much of the human race comes into contact with the virus. The virus mainly lodges itself in the lung, similar to the Anthrax bacteria. Just as with the Anthrax bacteria, simply inhaling near the infected human can be fatal. With such high contagiousness, much of humanity will be exposed. And with over a 60% mortality rate, only disaster can occur.
It may take weeks for the symptoms of the virus to surface, and that is sufficient time for large spreading of the virus. A typical international businessman has exposure to various human carriers of the virus. By the time he comes back to the United States, he might have transmitted the overly-contagious virus in his travels, to his family, in the plane or ship that he resided in, and so on. These newly infected humans will similarly spread the disease, as well. By the end of a week, millions of people will be stuck with the virus.
Doctors and over 15 big name research companies are pumping billions of dollars into developing a vaccine to render bird flu harmless. However, for the completion of this vaccine, the research companies require the mutated human-transmissible virus. If the virus takes weeks to show itself in humans, the flu shot will require at least a month to prepare. During that time, a pandemic will result.
Bird flu, as of now, is very resilient. A single strain of bird flu can survive in a human’s body for 6 days. After reproducing and mutating multiple times, that number may rise vastly. So far, we’re already experiencing spreading of the bird-spread HN51. Infected, migratory birds have spread the originally European disease across all of Asia and Europe, and much of Africa. It’s only a matter of time before such vastly spread virus forms a small mutation in one corner of the planet, and spreads it throughout the world.
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